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Scenario planning

Create future scenarios together

Involve internal and external experts

Richer input and more support

Monitor the results

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Online scenario planning within 5 minutes

Online scenario planning tool

Social Scenario Planning is an online tool to develop scenarios and determine strategic options to respond to the scenarios. The tool has been developed for organizations that want to perform scenario analysis independently as well as for consultants.

Co-creation of scenarios with all stakeholders

Social Scenario Planning guides organizations step by step in developing scenarios. Involving both internal and external experts is central. This ensures richer scenarios and strategic options and greater support for the outcomes.
The tool consists of 5 stages. All steps are facilitated online. The tool can also be perfectly combined with offline activities, such as workshops and interviews.

Social Scenario Planning is unparalleled in the ability to quickly develop valuable future scenarios that are widely supported by stakeholders.

Scenario planning

Get to grips with the turbulent environment

The external environment is becoming increasingly unpredictable. The traditional forms of forecasting and strategy development are therefore too rigid. Not the certainties, but precisely the uncertainties must be central. And how you respond to those uncertainties.

Develop robust strategy

Scenario planning is a method in which you develop multiple plausible visions of the future to explore the development of core uncertainties and the opportunities and risks that this entails. Scenario planning helps organizations to learn from the changes in the outside world and to develop strategies accordingly.

Social Scenario Planning in 5 steps

Step 1: Determine scope

The first step determines the direction of the investigation. The most important strategic question of the organization is the starting point of the scope. Based on the question, you choose a time horizon, apply boundaries and select stakeholders.

Step 2: Collect trends

The second step is an analysis of the external environment. The community collects trends by selecting developments from the macro trends database. They also brainstorm about trends in the immediate environment of the organization.

Step 3: Trend analysis

The third step is an analysis of the collected trends. You score the trends on their interdependence, unpredictability and impact on the research question. The aim of this phase is to identify the core uncertainties.

Step 4: Draw up scenarios

In the fourth step, you set up the scenarios. The core uncertainties form the basis for the coordinate cross that defines the four scenarios. The scenarios are plausible visions of the future that are drawn up together with the community.

Step 5: Define options

In the fifth step you determine how you as an organization can be successful in the different scenarios. The community defines strategic options in a brainstorming session. Each option is scored for its relevance in a particular scenario.

Project management tool

The project management tool is a special environment for the project manager (employee and / or external consultant). The tool describes in detail the steps of the process and thus guarantees the correct use of the method. In addition, the tool contains templates for all results, from the scope to the trend list and scenarios. From the project management tool, the project manager sets out assignments in the community and requests feedback on (interim) results.

Co-creation community

The co-creation community is the environment in which the community works together to develop the scenarios. The members of the community can be internal as well as external experts and stakeholders. In the tool, members provide input to strategic questions and brainstorm about trends and strategic options. They provide feedback on (interim) results that the project manager has drawn up and stay informed of the progress of the project via blog posts.

Functionality

1. Determine scope

Brainstorm about strategic questions

Publish strategic questions

Edit and publish scope

Provide feedback on results

Result: strategic questions and scope

2. Collect trends

Select macro trends from our trend library

Brainstorm about trends: add, like, comment

Compile trend list: edit, prioritize, merge

Publish trend list and request feedback

Result: trend list

 

3. Trend analysis

Trends score on impact and unpredictability

Trends score on interdependence

Publish ranked trend list and request feedback

Result: trend list, ordered by scores

 

4. Draw up scenarios

Define coordinate cross with critical uncertainties

Brainstorming about underlying causes and characteristics of the scenarios

Write scenarios, publish and ask for feedback

Result: axis cross and scenarios

 

5. Define options

Brainstorming about challenges and options per scenario

Strategic options score per scenario

Result: ranked list of strategic options

 

Project management tool

Overview of all phases and (intermediate) results

Detailed description of all steps in the process

Templates for all results

Practical tips from our practice

 

Co-creation community

Overview of all phases and (intermediate) results

Weblog with project updates and assignments

Provide feedback on (interim) results

Alerts

Daily or weekly email with an overview of new messages and responses

Update email is automatically sent to all members

Members can easily change the frequency themselves or unsubscribe

And more

Overview of latest messages

Overview of latest responses

Own color scheme and logo

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Encrypted connection (SSL)

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